AI-Related Indexes: Separate Opportunity From Performance Chasing

Artificial intelligence (AI) appears in the fixed index annuity outlook in two distinct ways: as a theme influencing index performance and as a tool advisors can use in their businesses. These are separate subjects and should be evaluated separately.

On the investment side, the outlook describes an anniversary review in which money was reallocated from an S&P 500 crediting option to a technology- and AI-focused alternative.

The attention grabbing detail was a reported calculation: had the client used that alternative during the preceding 12 months, the interest credit would have been 44%. The same discussion notes that the index had produced very little over the prior three years.

Both parts of that history belong in the conversation. Highlighting only the exceptional year would leave out the weaker period that preceded it.

How to discuss an unusually strong result responsibly

  • Identify what the number measures. Distinguish index performance from a calculated or actual contract interest credit.
  • Explain the comparison honestly. A result a client could have received is not a result that client actually earned.
  • Include the less impressive history. One strong year does not erase several quiet years.
  • Return to the client’s objective. A recent winner is not, by itself, a reason to change allocations.

The unnamed index and contract cannot be independently assessed from the outlook alone. Product specific materials are necessary before using that example to support a recommendation.

How Strong Is the Annuity Sales Outlook Through 2027?

TWH Agency expects fixed index annuity demand to remain strong through 2027, supported by competitive offerings and clients’ concerns about market uncertainty. That is a business forecast, not a guaranteed outcome or an industry-wide sales projection.

We’ve seen movement from approximately 10% below the comparable prior year sales level to approximately 10% above it over two months. That is a 20-percentage-point change in the year-over-year comparison. It should not be described as a 20% increase in total sales, because those are different measurements.

The reported activity also extends beyond annuity applications to Roth conversions and assistance with living trusts. This suggests that the opportunity involves broader planning conversations, not just a single product category.

Still, these results do not establish the performance of the entire annuity market. Advisors should treat the outlook as a reason to prepare for demand, while continuing to assess each recommendation on its own merits.

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